五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:【原创】救火队成型-中国版本的08火山在前面了? -- 范进中举

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科普
家园 "中国地方政府那样直接做生意"

1. tg itself is a 一个创造;

2. "中国地方政府那样直接做生意"=another 创造 of #1

3. overall, 能量守恒定律 has to be respected

4. so, now it is time for tg to payback a little bit, after so many 创造 by tg's 创造, and so many 创造's leverage and derivatives, time to do the accounting home work

"回归"欧美主导的世界finance市场, then culture 市场, then 欧美数学物理公理主导的"社会公理" system

5. 欧美 this time will play smarter

欧美 wants to make sure, that tg's sneaking into WTO

with help of 911 "trick" will not replay again

meaning: tg has to subject tg/china to 欧美's management in may ways

6 和平演化

6.1

tg will still be 执政党 (I would think that tg will negotiate with 美欧 with all the tg's 底牌) , but 人海战术城镇化, although a real economic growth story, but 人海战术 is still 人海战术, and with that, china is more closer to 拉丁美洲 model, a paper super power globally, and regionally 0.5 paper tiger

6.2

tg will still be 执政党 (I would think that tg will negotiate with 美欧 with all the tg's 底牌, and 美欧 will likely "ok" that, because 美欧 needs tg's 城镇化 badly as a growth driver for 美欧 's economy with deflation evil hanging on there;

6.3 political gains for 美欧

with 北京共识 turning into a fake, 美欧 global leadership re-established, "china's nightmare/threat to 美欧 model " =虚惊一场

7 for tg

what else to do? keeping 执政党 and pla is critical, or it would be very bloody.

from the very beginning, 共产国际's time, tg has been gambling, and overall made a lot of hugely profitable bets

now, 江山风雨情 again, big deal time, and as a hedge/统一战线, tg has to and will negotiate with 美欧资本国际, there is no 天魔大法 when in terms of making shoes for 1.5billion people

basically, for tg:

leverage on 馬列共产国际 to get 江山, and now leverage on美欧资本国际 to own 江山 as long as possible;

with money running out, 江山 ownership will be in danger, 江山美人 will turn into 血雨腥风, nobody will take that risk

8.

once 统一战线 with 美欧 is established in terms of securing 美欧political "support" and fiancé capital for tg/china's城镇化 , tg will handle domestic 內戰左右派, like a piece of cake, 小菜一碟, and tg's possibly debt bubble導致的 丢失政权 will be 虚惊一场

but, it will take time for 美欧 and tg to understand and workout such a deal, but as you said:

"苍蝇为什么有那么多肉么", if there is 多肉 there in the above "analyzed" deal, both 美欧 and tg as super smarty 苍蝇 will smell it out, and they will come to the table

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