五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:【原创】救火队成型-中国版本的08火山在前面了? -- 范进中举

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家园 intentional tightening

A risky move to use inter-bank lending market for political infight purpose.

1. It shakes confidence in the system, esp., from a non-Chinese perspective. Inter-bank market is the harbinger of any financial crisis (e.g., the 2008 US one and the 2010 European one). Therefore, people judge China's economy based on data from this crucial dark market.

2. The top wants to discipline some people. According to friends in Beijing, it is clearly politically motivated.

But inter-bank rates have impact on ALL kinds of other lending rates in or outside the system. Put in a simple way: it is the top tier of "a pyramid" of rates in the domestic economy. Nobody can fully plan for all the trickle-down effects of this move.

I am very afraid of UNANTITICPATED BACKFIRE across different sectors of the economy. 中南海的十八子太有自信了,这么毒的政治斗争手段都敢用。

最大的风险就是Black Swan events and panic behavior by the general public.

通宝推:钓者任公子,puma2011,forger,种植园土,
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