主题：德国人发现不对了 -- 有型的马里昂

Will a Global Depression Trigger Another World War?

The coronavirus pandemic has already devastated the international economy. Its military fallout remains to be seen.

BY STEPHEN M. WALT | MAY 13, 2020, 7:57 AM

文章引用了5个专家的理论，进行了分析，认为不会有战争。我就不全文转了，上个ID给封了，理由之一就是转载文摘。

另外与此同时国家利益刊登了一个要在南海和中国干的文章。

The U.S. Must Beat China at its Own Game in South China Sea

May 13, 2020 Topic: Security Region: China South China Sea Salami-slicing Military Diplomacy

To date, diplomacy has not worked to roll back China’s actions in the South China Sea, nor will it so long as China believes its salami-slicing works. Perhaps, then, to be effective and to signal support for allies and protect freedom of navigation, it is time for Washington to join Beijing for a salami-themed picnic.

这是要在他们比较强项的地方，准备教训一下中国了。看样子他们现在还不想展开全面战争。