五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:清零政策的实施和大跃进非常类似 -- llama

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家园 现在放开的话中国会死一百五十万人

就以现在的疫苗接种状况

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你不是要论文吗?具体内容你可以看这篇论文。

We find that the level of immunity induced by the March 2022 vaccination campaign would be insufficient to prevent an Omicron wave that would result in exceeding critical care capacity with a projected intensive care unit peak demand of 15.6-times the existing capacity and causing approximately 1.55 million deaths. However, we also estimate

that protecting vulnerable individuals by ensuring accessibility to vaccines and antiviral therapies, and maintaining implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions could be sufficient to prevent overwhelming the healthcare system, suggesting that these factors should be points of emphasis in future mitigation policies.

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