主题：【原创】新年政治经济展望之五：国债陷阱（一） -- 井底望天
被妖魔化乃是因为TG害怕资产阶级自由化，而妖魔化他们
人家说的可是真话，但是真话对某政权来说，是最可怕的。
而你这种脑残早没有了分辨是非的能力，自己当奴才还要拉别人垫背，太王八蛋了吧
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戈倍尔都自我了断了，他们这些被忽悠的找谁去哭呀
装出说真话的模样忽悠，很有戈倍尔的真传。
你等还为他担心，有够傻的，不能不说忽悠的成功
为什么当时美国一定要美元与黄金脱钩呢？法国人钻的这个空子，可以用调整美元与黄金的兑换比率来避免，如同井大讲的货币的金属价值比面值稍小一点就可以。
唯一的解释就是美国不想用这种手段在外面混。他看到自己超级的军事实力，希望把这份红利先吃到嘴里。
这口饭好吃是不错，但是吃上了就不容易停下来。对于任何能动摇美国霸主地位的国家，他一定是要置之死地而后快的。日德等国已经被搞定，苏联也是这样。中国从逻辑上说也是必须要被搞定的。
不吃不是汗水换来的饭，我觉得这是正道。犹太人的那套是要把人心搞坏掉的。难道美国的那些“精英”们不懂这点？
任何货币贬值，都会导致银行惜贷，大家囤积保值物。 黄金是第一类， 第二类就是工业原料和日用品。很多第二产业就是在工业原料涨价而产品无法立刻涨价回笼现金，又无法从银行借到钱周转导致破产的。
美元几次贬值其实对它自己的第二产业破坏也很大，金融业倒是在第二产业的尸体上（融资，收购，重组，合并）大大地发展了。印钞机印出来的美金在先是在金融家手上转一下，然后成倍的资金就到了跨国垄断资本家手上兴风作浪。这些人是肯定找得到杆杠借得到钱的，too big to fail就是免死金牌.
其实买油买矿只是出路的一种，也可以国外收购产业，比如港口，道路、电网、通信网，可惜中国企业有出息的不多，宁愿在中国这块地上窝里横，没有赶上前二十年左右的自由化大潮，要不也能够比现在的日子好过多了。尤其可恨的中国的几个运营商，在全球电信用户激增的十年里，没有出去，现在假模假样走出去，过了这个村已经没有店了。
可别学国军，尽知道转进。
美元和黄金脱钩的具体情况不清楚，俺也不是学经济的，说不全面。不过从长远看，纸币和黄金脱钩是必然的。
黄金属于矿产资源，无法做到要多少有多少。比如说去年一公斤黄金换一吨大米，今年多生产了一万吨大米，可是只又挖出了300公斤黄金，怎么办？
市场规律会让大米降价，实际上就是出现了通货紧缩。
减持国债，哪怕拿着美元也好。这样会将美国长期利率往上推
Then you need to deposit USD in certain banks. If you do as Saudi did to deposit it with Federal Reserve bank, then you just give ammunition to Fed Reserve to buy back more treasury notes and then to manage its LT risk free rate down.
If you deposit the money with large banks, then you still encourage bank lending and thus credit expansion.
Also you put your reserve assets at risk since one single bank can bankrupt and your trillion deposit will evaporate.
Never underestimate your American compatriots, esp., your Jewish friends.
观点不同很正常，但最好不要随便给人定性。
兄台的帖子一直在看，也有收藏，虽然不是很懂，但是内在的逻辑还是能看明白。
你如果看不上谁的帖子，最好的反击的就是把你自己的观点清楚地写出来。西西河里有点阅历的人还是不少的，对TG也好美帝也好都有些了解的。事实会说话，谁对谁错时间长了大家自然会看清楚。
言语之间无畏的冲突还是尽量避免吧，首先不解决问题，再则如果因此而失去这个说话的平台，对你自己和象我这样认真读你帖子的人也都是损失。
you know there are two USD worlds: the US USD market and the offshore USD dollar market (Eurodollar and Asiadollar market).
You are assuming that depositing 2T USD with Bank of China will park that 2T outside the US USD market.
But,
Bank of China has two types of dollar deposits: some in US and some in the Asiadollar/Eurodollar system.
If that 2T is in the US dollar market, then you still contribute to the American DOMESTIC credit expansion. You contradict yourself.
If that 2T is in the Asiadollar market, then you need to lend it out to users. To be frank, there are no enough users, because almost all Asian nations were stuffed with their USD reserves.
You can check Thailand, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam...
Then you are effectively asking Bank of China hold 2T dollar as liability--paying 3-4% annual interest, but do not lend the money out to anybody, because there is no customer available... Then Bank of China will lose 60B-80B in profit every year--how to fill in this hole?
Eurodollar market is large with total value of 5T. China might be able to find lending customers there, but there is credit risk. Who will be responsible for credit loss?
Of course, one easy way is to lend money to all European governments (PIIGs) in US dollars to help them to go through the fiscal hardship. But those Europeans are frozen snakes, they will bite you back when they come into better shape. They tortured and killed their Jewish creditors (as you vividly documented in your own posts). Why they will treat cheap/dirty/poor/zero-human-rights/inferior(in their own words) yellow Chinese better??
You want to risk your reserve assets to help a geopolitical enemy who humiliate you whenever possible during 2007-2009?
Buddy, I know you are a superior political scientist. But when it comes to finance, do not underestimate your Jewish friends in the finance fields who constructed this post-1971 Brettonwood II system...
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http://www.ccthere.com/article/2796692
http://www.ccthere.com/article/2796698
如果美国如此三番逼上门，逼人到墙角，中国还能考虑那么多欧洲以前对自己做的龌龊事情么？战壕里能多个战友多杆枪总比直接被美国人跳进来捏死自己好。
美国要真催命，中国也只有先扛过眼前难关再说其他。眼睛一闭，卖了美国国债就买黄金买石油换欧元。和美国一拍两散，从此陌路。
不过如你说的，犹太人一般都比较精明，不会把中国逼到这个份上。最终还是大家继续在钢丝绳上跳舞。