五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:【原创】中国高速铁道“1000亿元”的投标争论 -- xixi

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家园 Thanks for ur reply. But I can not agree with u.

About question 2, the cost of the Technology Transferring. I am still doubting that 4-5 billion will be spended on Tech Transferring. About this, we can get more information if we know how much JR东日本 spended on its Tech research, and how much “光基铁道” will pay JR东日本 for Tech Transferring. And the case in Taiwan might help also. But I could not find enough data till now. (Hope somebody can hlep!)

Your Microsoft expamle, I think, will not apply here. Anything gets its reasonable price, if buyer would like to pay. I think these 4-5 billion is too much high---How much did Chinese government spend on Chinese own research? If they can invest these 4-5 billion in our own research, I think Chinese people can do it, right? even do not need to mention the money paid to France and Canada for the Tech!

About question 3.

From the political perspective, China should not consider Japanese companies at all. right? Even Germany is better.

u said:'法国人随时可能破产,而日本有随时可能跟我们翻脸."

Actually, from the political viewpoint, if Frech companies broke down, there would nothing important; but If Japanese government will break up with China anytime, why should China pay so much to buy goods from them?

"你用二百五十亿大洋,就买一家的技术过来,你是不是觉得更亏?"

But from the beginning, we dont need to pay that much. If we buy tech from one company only, like Frech company, or even from our own copany, why should we pay that much for duplicate tech?

"如果对这三种技术的消化能在三五年内完成,今后国内铁路还有七万公里,"

I think, Japanese will play their tradtional tricks to control the business all over China. I dont think Chinese comanies can get rid of the control of Jpanese, to operate seperately. Take the history into consideration, u will not be surpprised. Japanese have never transferred the advanced tech to China,

"欧亚大陆还有更大的市场,加上我们的造价优势,相信可以在未来二十年里够吃的。"

To my opinion, this is a dream.

Thanks again for your reply.

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