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主题:2010年9月联合国要求中国1亿儿童统一免费注射某种疫苗 -- 拿不准

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家园 这是有人故意断章取义,肆意歪曲盖茨的话

比尔·盖茨演讲的视频见下

Bill Gates on energy: Innovating to zero

[URL=]

http://blog.ted.com/2010/02/18/innovating_to_z/[/URL]

Bill Gates说:

Now, we put out a lot of carbon dioxide every year, over 26 billion tons. For each American, it's about 20 tons. For people in poor countries, it's less than one ton. It's an average of about five tons for everyone on the planet. And, somehow, we have to make changes that will bring that down to zero. It's been constantly going up. It's only various economic changes that have even flattened it at all, so we have to go from rapidly rising to falling, and falling all the way to zero.

This equation has four factors. A little bit of multiplication. So, you've got a thing on the left, CO2, that you want to get to zero, and that's going to be based on the number of people, the services each person's using on average, the energy on average for each service, and the CO2 being put out per unit of energy. So, let's look at each one of these and see how we can get this down to zero. Probably, one of these numbers is going to have to get pretty near to zero. Now that's back from high school algebra, but let's take a look.

First we've got population. Now, the world today has 6.8 billion people. That's headed up to about nine billion. Now, if we do a really great job on new vaccines, health care, reproductive health services, we could lower that by, perhaps, 10 or 15 percent, but there we see an increase of about 1.3.

The second factor is the services we use. This encompasses everything, the food we eat, clothing, TV, heating. ...

盖茨此次演讲的主题是碳减排,目的是为了碳达标。他列出二氧化碳排放的公式,四因子:人口数,人均服务使用量,每单位服务平均耗能量,每单位能耗的二氧化碳排放。

然后下面是分析人口数这个因子,目的是估算2050年的人数,他认为如果“new vaccines, health care, reproductive health services”做得好的话,那么这会比68亿增加到1.3倍。下面盖茨就接着分析另三个因子了,人口问题以下都未再说。

“新疫苗、医疗服务、生殖健康”的良好,当然有助于人口稳定健康的增长,防止人口爆炸,我国的计划生育计划就是如此。在许多发展中国家,出生率高的原因就是死亡率、尤其是婴儿死亡率过高,所以导致生育文化就是尽量多生,这是有大量实证,并广泛被认可的通识。盖茨的这些话,政治正确到完全可以发表在人民日报上。这里的“新疫苗”是指各种流行病的疫苗,只有白痴或内心极其黑暗的人才会以为这是杀人的。

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