五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:【讨论】影帝对王立军事件定性:必须反思!!! -- Javacai

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家园 About the 2017 prediction

1. Major bull/bear market in the past

Start End Lengh (Days)

Aug-82 Jan-00 6362

Feb-66 Aug-82 6025

Jun-49 Feb-66 6089

Sep-29 Jun-49 7213

2.

The averaged time of the last four major bull/bear market is about 6422 days.

The averaged time of the last two major bear market is about 6618 days.

The Jun-49 bull market and the following bear market are about the same size, so there are some chances that our current bear market will be the same size as the Aug-82 bull market.

3. If history repeat itself, our current bear market bull will be end at 2017-2018.

Start End Days

Jan-00 Aug-17 6422

Jan-00 Feb-18 6618

Jan-00 Jun-17 6362

Let's wait and see.

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