五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:银行的好日子结束了 -- zhuhit

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家园 I wrote 2 hours on the

Ben Bang Cai, but the website crashed, and I lost all my inputs. First time, input in Chinese. Very frustrated.

yes, Greece will be out.

1. Germany wants to reshape Euroland.

2. All financial system threat has been cleaned.

3. Germany wants to marginalize France if France chooses to oppose it.

4. Greeks are asking for a precedent that will destroy Germany's own fiscal system as well as banking system. Germany must impose fiscal rules first--take over sovereignty of PIGs (Ireland excluded) before allowing common bonds.

5. Greece is far away from Euro-heartland. It has limited economic link, except for once the banking system link with the Euroland. It can not block the transportation in Euroland (unlike the Niu XXX Quebecors who can break Canada into two unconnected pieces). Its threat is pretty empty.

German PM is an iron lady with tough will. Do not expect her to yield, even facing IMF/OECD or the whole world.

I expect further turmoil. I am shorting heavily.

ECB will not intervene very soon since it has used up its credibility in front of all of their Germanic board members. There must be a crisis first before ECB jumping in. Right now, we are far from a crisis.

Greeks are playing chickens against Germans. But they forget who is really tough daddy with all the money in control now.

Greeks are directing and playing a big Greek tragedy in front of the whole world, WITHOUT EVEN BEING CONSCIOUS OF IT. haha. smart Greeks have all fled Greece by now.

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