五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:【原创】围绕脑科学而发生的若干玄想 -- 鸿乾

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家园 is 北京共识 topped out?

if the "logic" in my above post hold, then we can immediately have a few "trying guess" into tg's mind:

after 30 years of china miracle (amazingly successful), time has arrived for some kind of consolidation, and economically "后发优势" with some kind of control on the cost side, with still sizable real economic growth, compared to us-European QE financed struggling growth ;

politically, smooth sailing at least to

中共20th congress;

internationally, global capital market/human capital/innovation system, will or already figure it out: the so-called 北京共识=basically 世界工厂@"支部建在连上", with likely very little positive/negative surprises, and market actually likes it: china is actually a stabilizer to global economy as a 世界工厂, but not a model lab, no premium to be paid, just straight cost accounting.

as about 世界's "杀出一条血路" innovation business: any surprises to market will largely come from us, EU, and now may be japan as well, with its new QE, etc.

If EU can come out financially united and start growing again (very likely), EU, US 2 big whites+ 2 small 整容 whites of korea and japan, 0.6-0.7(?) white Russian may swing to the white side, leaving tg with some geopolitical headaches, but not crisis, no big deal

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