主题：31事件再次群死群伤，新疆反恐将进入新阶段 -- 陈经

2012年薄案之后不到半年，日本政客对中国政局的判断是，中国会走向内部政治斗争甚至走向公开的社会内乱长期化

How will the United States, long the world's Ultimate Consumer and still reliant on China for cheap goods and capital, respond to this transformation? I tackle the question in the final chapters of Unbalanced. For a growth-starved U.S. economy, this could well be a critical fork in the road. One path is risky: If saving-short America stays stuck in its old ways, but finds itself without the goods and capital from China, the U.S. will suffer higher inflation, rising interest rates and a weaker dollar. The other path is one of great opportunity: America can adopt a new growth strategy -- moving away from excess consumption toward a renewal based on saving and on investing that saving in people, infrastructure and capacity. In doing so, the U.S. can draw support from exports, especially to China -- currently its third largest and most rapidly growing major export market -- where demand for American-made products and services could provide an enormous bonanza for a refocused US economy.