五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:实体经济的困局,是缺钱吗? -- cgangcm

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家园 产业链=生物圈, "相位场"

1.

German is very rich with all kinds of manufacturing 产业链, 生物圈;

US is super rich with all kinds high tech, service 产业链, 生物圈

can US TPP make it to some kind of 产业链, 生物圈?

"美国的再工业化及TPP" puma2011

http://www.ccthere.com/article/4015089

2.

economic 生物 under 私有制 is basically "走夜路", I have personally done 实体经济 before, extremely hard, even harder than "走夜路"

3.

so where and how to get your information when "走夜路"?

economic 生物 survives by basically 交换相位信息 with each other, 生物圈;

why 相位?

kind of like 德布罗意相位波, 不是明显的波, but much rich in terms of information

明显的波 like 电磁波 is not worth your money, much less information, you have to know something less-public, basically.

4.

now, can government provide those kind of "相位" information? sometimes superman politicians like uncle TG will tell you he can, but where and how does he get that "相位" information all the economic 生物 are looking for?

no government can do it.

what government can do is trying to set up some kind of 原教旨资本主义 social economic structure, such like USA, providing some kind of 温度 environment, then all the economic 生物 of 私有制 type will all go there in a crowd, and they will set up a information processing system among themselves, basically a capital market, as their 相位场;

with that 相位场, they may feel confident enough that they can manage their risk and getting needed information to "走夜路".

and as we know, still a huge percentage of them will get lost, or killed "走夜路", doing any business is hard, even bloody.

5.

now, "毛林共识"政治模型 is fundamentally anti 原教旨资本主义

knowing that, TG top used to try 政治改革 trick and 打右灯, 往右拐

Uncle Sam: wait a minute, you guys cannot copy my models, containing china, 政权变更, etc;

Uncle TG: scared, more and more "毛林共识", and 打左灯, 往右拐

but those economic 生物 are not stupid, and actually they may be smarter than everybody else, in terms of economic and financial information processing for their own survival and growth.

they will ask uncle TG for a huge risk premium.

6.

Uncle Sam

state department: you guys work your ass off , get that TPP going somewhere;

CIA: what you "zero dark" team has been doing? where is fire and smoke? and any progress about 政权变更(:)?

Uncle TG: more and more "毛林共识"

"毛林共识" has likely become a pivotal point already for Uncle Sam to squeeze Uncle TG

7.

"中央的人并不是笨蛋", I totally agree, and I do think they have a good heart as well, but they have a "model" problem.

when you are put into a 爱因斯坦电梯, it is not about if you are a 笨蛋 or not 笨蛋.

you are just trapped, baby.

by the way, when 爱因斯坦 conducted that famous 爱因斯坦电梯"思想实验",he was inside (思想实验)that "爱因斯坦电梯", and he feels totally trapped, from there on, GR.

at the time, there was no 航天 yet, and 航天失重, "爱因斯坦电梯" were a purely 思想实验, 先验论.

爱因斯坦's super modeling power.

it is time for china to switch models, get over with "毛林共识".

can china manage to do that model switching with Uncle Sam squeezing TG from everywhere?

does TG top even know that they are trapped inside "爱因斯坦电梯" ?

that is why I agree that 中央的人并不是笨蛋, and at this point, X's top team's 屁股 are fairly ok (:?) too, if they fails, where do they go?

there is no where they can go.

and they will be facing Uncle Sam's constant short squeezing. tough.

8.

中央的人的屁股 may be a problem in the past, not now.

as the top elite of Chinese society, and as smart as they are, they have got a 物理世界观 problem, huge problem.

that is what I have been trying to say, I don't really care about their 屁股 anymore;

my model is independent of their 屁股(:), so I can be bullet proof, and hedge myself, because I have never seen 中央的人的屁股, and I don't know how to model 中央的人的屁股, so I kick it out as a degree of freedom from my model(:).

finally, I got to this point, and I hope I have articulated fairly clearly.

9.

now, can 中央的人与人民心连心, 屁股连屁股, yes, they can, but doing that for what?

although politically running "毛林共识", 中央的人 cares most about global capital market (now china a big part of it), they have no choice.

one a hooker, a hooker forever.

now we are on "hooker":

around year 2000, 中华邦联 of tw and 新加坡 opportunity, what 386 was doing then, fxxking that army hooker? understandable again?

How did TG top handle that 中华邦联 thing? any information?

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Feynman's Ants - MathPages

www.mathpages.com/home/kmath320/kmath320.htm

The solid wavy line represents the first ant's path. According to Feynman, the second ant follows the first path, but sometimes he “would go straight out, as if he ...

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南亚的问题复杂,并且正朝着与中国传统外交/地域观念极为不同、极为不利的方向发展。

8月30日我写了印度莫迪的主动出击 vs 远交近攻, 就意识到印度的不善和问题的严重,不过没有

想到问题的发展急转直下,对中国的发展非常不利:

1。5月初竞选时,印度莫迪不止一次扬言要对巴基斯坦“强硬”。但莫迪一当选,就于5月21日突然

宣布邀请巴总理谢里夫,到印度参加26日举行的总理就职典礼。巴基斯坦的总理谢里夫去了。

2。六月,缅甸取消中国的几大投资计划,说要从新评估。背后是日本安倍和日财团的影子。

3。7月,印度参与日美奥的军事演习,加入中国南海很多钻油业务,尤其和越南的合作。

4。8月底30日,印度莫迪绕过中国,第一个出访的是中国的宿敌日本。和日本签署大量的备忘录。

5。9月5月,孟加拉总理宣布,支持日本成为非常任理事国。孟加拉彻底和日本走到一起。

6。9月6月,巴基斯坦宣布:推迟中国国家主席习近平的到访。中国外交部发言人秦刚是在被记者

问起时,才不得不说:“一段时间以来,中巴双方一直就习近平主席9月中旬对巴基斯坦进行国事访问

保持着沟通,为此访作了富有成效的准备。鉴于巴基斯坦当前政局,中国政府和巴基斯坦政府一致同

意推迟习近平主席原计划于本月晚些时候对巴基斯坦进行的国事访问。双方正在通过外交渠道协商习

近平主席尽早访巴的新日期。双方强调,中巴是经受时间考验的全天候朋友。双方高度重视习近平主

席访巴,希望访问尽早成行,以促进中巴两国间的互利合作。” 拿中巴这类“兄弟”关系,都出事了。

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