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主题:【原创】“中国崩溃论”屡屡崩溃的根本原因 -- 比的原理

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家园 理论上是这样, 敢不敢, 多长时间问题

basically a 凯恩斯"永动机" model by printing money.

or "长动机" model, there is really no "永动机". period.

now, challenges.

1.

Japan did that, not working after 长时间

2.

you cannot do it globally for 长时间, or we have just invented a 永动机.

3.

now, US Fed QE is not really printing money like Japan did.

ECB has not even started QE.

and global capital market will figure out who is really doing printing money driven 永动机, yes, all central banks kind of all doing some version of that today, but the "most bad" guy/country will be punished by capital market.

3.

TG still have some real money in the pocket at central government level, a lot of them.

TG can do the 永动机 thing without not much money printing at all, but for how long?

yes, after real money financed 永动机 stops, TG can start money printing financed 永动机.

but again, global capital market is watching everybody, and it seems that TG top knows that, and they don't want to take the risk of being picked up as the "most bad" guy and get punished, with capital outflow possibly of huge scale.

now, even without doing that at all, TG top has been already trying kiss ass of global capital market (Chinese domestic 民间资本 included, now all global) by 私有化国产, with some of them almost at yard sale. TG is already a little nervous of Chinese economic growth slowing down and its poor quality of growth, if any quality at all.

TG top 不敢.

and I always think, that TG top wants to do the best for Chinese nation, and it seems "majority" of Chinese people think that way too.

so, TG top better watches out for his ass, and be a good guy, or continue to pretend that way(:).

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