主题：【讨论】南海仲裁后，下一步应该是美军重返菲律宾 -- 迷途笨狼

多谢trump给了共和党浴火重生的机会

----------------------

老美某智库专家的文章。关于川普这次选举的历史重大意义，那是太多了，可以去知乎看看。川普以一人之力挑战两党，突破传统媒体重重围剿，改变了这二十多年来的美国政治局势和走向，走到党代会这一步，已经不世出的功劳了。好比老邓在新中国的历史地位。川普要是赢了，绝对政治封神。

各种消息传下，如果一半是真的，美国是在经历一个大时代的转折，至少是50年一遇的转变。

如果你在美加，居然连川普这次参选对美国社会和老百姓巨大影响力都不知道，可见起政治意识上无知无畏了。

------------------------------

After Trump Loses, We Can Build a Sane Republican Party

This week, as we witness the horrifying spectacle of the GOP crowning Donald Trump as its presidential nominee, we may find solace by anticipating the

positive change that his ill-fated candidacy might actually bring about.

Ever since Trump secured the nomination, influential leaders and

intellectuals on the right who reject him have been working to reimagine the right as it should be. Under normal circumstances, envisioning a more

mature version of Republican politics might just be speculative fantasy. But this unique historical moment provides the American right with an

unprecedented opportunity to redefine itself and reclaim its role as an

effective bulwark against the shortcomings of the left.

Toward this end, last week I was privileged to participate in a small

gathering of influential conservative and libertarian leaders who came

together for three days to imagine a “more evolved” version of right-wing politics. The group included distinguished author Charles Murray, Republican gay rights activist Margaret Hoover, and anti-tax icon Grover Norquist.

Also present were prominent libertarians, right-leaning political scientists, and numerous Republican media personalities. And while we did not reach a clear consensus on the “future of the right,” we did find remarkable

agreement around the potential for a revitalized center-right coalition that could offer a viable alternative to unprincipled right-wing populism.

By the end of the three-day meeting, many were optimistic that a fresh kind of conservative and libertarian politics will rise from the ashes of Trump’s impending loss. The group was excited by the possibility of a new American right that could be “radically innovative and radically inclusive.” We

agreed that a key strength of the right is found in its championing of

entrepreneurial innovation and the values of personal and economic liberty. And this same spirit of creative innovation can be used to craft positive

proposals for market-based healthcare reform and a meritocratic immigration policy.

Despite polls that show large-scale Republican support for Trump, after

Hillary Clinton’s likely victory, conservatives will come to realize that

they need a more moral (while simultaneously less moralistic) form of

Republican politics. This post-Trump soul-searching can accordingly lead to a new coalition of business people, libertarians, progressive conservatives, and even market-friendly Democrats who are worried about the left’s move

toward Sanders-style socialism and its intensifying identity politics.

By freeing itself from the backward-looking concerns of nativists, Tea

Partiers, and some religious conservatives, this emerging center-right

coalition could embrace political issues currently owned by the left—issues such as income inequality, environmentally friendly energy policy,

immigration reform, and even a conservative plan for affordable health care. By advancing solutions to these issues that are primarily market-based, and thus more acceptable to conservative and libertarian sensibilities, this

center-right political alliance could make progress in areas that are

currently stymied by hyper-partisan polarization.

Moreover, by working to restate the platform of the American right to make

it more socially liberal, even while it remains fiscally conservative, this emerging center-right coalition could also attract a politically significant number of millennial voters who would help make up for the loss of social

conservatives in the Republican base. While this culturally updated center-

right platform may not gain the assent of an electoral majority in the near term, most of the meeting’s participants were willing to admit that the

demands of responsible leadership now require a more long-term view.

While we did not reach consensus on every issue, our group did agree that

this historical moment calls for a bold vision of the future of conservative and libertarian politics—an innovative platform that can effectively

integrate and use values and solutions from across the political spectrum,

even while continuing to stand for the essential values of liberty and

heritage that are the right’s enduring strengths.

Rather than lamenting Trump, after three days’ rigorous discussion and

friendly camaraderie, many of us came to appreciate the upside of the “

creative destruction” he is wreaking on the Republican Party. By providing an opening for reform, Trump’s anticipated loss in November can help bring about a new version of the right that can continue to champion the power of free markets, while simultaneously welcoming immigrants, displaced workers, environmentalists, and ethnic and religious minorities.

This emerging center-right coalition could not only reinvigorate the

Republican Party, it could also help save American democracy by overcoming

our crippling polarization. There will always be some version of the right

in American politics, so even liberals have a stake in the right’s positive evolution. And in the end, whether the right’s next evolutionary step

results in a “New Republican Party” or a distinct third party, what

matters most will be the quality of values it chooses to represent.

Steve McIntosh is president and co-founder of the Institute for Cultural

Evolution think tank (ICE), which focuses on the cultural roots of America’s problems. He tweets at @InstituteforCE.