五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:比尔.盖茨/沃伦.巴菲特:答商学院学生问 -- 万年看客

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    • 家园 比尔眼中的世界就是精英的世界

      99%的人不过是干电池。只要把关键的那三十个人的心抓住,就可以挑战世界。成功的一流领袖基本上都是这么做的,除非是精神领袖,才会满口的人民与教众。

      精英论让人不得不问,到底人与人的智力,见识,能力有多大差距?人类的社会化,与动物的社会化有一个很大的区别,就是人可以通过社会化集合大脑的智力,形成一个松散的社会大脑来扩大人的智力的上限,去达到单个人智力不够达成的任务。

      但是精英论让人们不得不意识到,这个放大了的“大脑”,本质上与大脑皮层一样,越是顶层越是在负责高大上的问题,最后决定这个“大脑”载体,就是一个团队,公司甚至国家,的生存与未来,很大程度是顶层的作用。这些精英的水平能力决定了载体的全面能力。

      通宝推:forger,
      • 家园 精英的世界: US vs china

        1.

        in a dissipative system (kind of the social systems we have now), we can't and will never have the "ideal or normal" distribution of "energy"(money, knowledge, power, even "human rights like sex" etc), 两极分化严重 kind of ="new normal"

        2.

        now, the white's "民选, market system, free speech, human rights" etc

        can the "white" system solve all the problems as we know in US, and China (and globally?)

        of course not, all what the "white system" is trying to do is trying (trying again, social science is "hard", ) to:

        at a society level, perform path integral or "路徑積分" ( in an analogy) etc, in terms of information collection, processing and logic/model finding(we have to constantly find new logic/model in social science to catch up with the speed of humanity progressing in whatever directions, "bad or good")

        whether a reasonable "solution" can be found and accomplished by that 路徑積分 process=uncertain, very often, therefore, we have all the messes/problems in the white's "民选, market system, free speech, human rights" system, too many to point out, and TG's ideology machine has been roaring very loud: I told you, white's 西化 is not for us Chinese nation, it is not working even for whites themselves;

        3.

        in a way, TG is "right", now the challenge is: what us Chinese should do then?

        TG: 相信党中央, 紧密的团结在以 whomever 为总书记的党中央周围, tomorrow can only be better, the day after tomorrow would be even more beautiful (meaning at least life will be more beautiful for your family's future generations, if yourself can't catch a good life with TG now(;))

        so, one can argue that TGchina's 精英 is basically leveraging on Chinese people's emotions, trust & their traditional support of Chinese political elite of past 5k years. yes, TGchina's 精英 work very hard for Chinese nation, and yes, TGchina's 精英 have accomplished a lot.

        and it is also true, and as everybody knows, at the end of day, after all said and done, TGchina's 精英 are among the richest people in the world as well, in terms of individual or groups.

        4.

        now, how about US 精英? what does US 精英 do? of course, they sometimes or very often "cheat" (or "marketing") on US "民选" popular mass/people as well, culturally, politically, just like their Chinese 精英 buddies;

        still, at an increasingly higher percentage, US 精英 manages to accomplish their social advances/wealth accumulation, more and more by leveraging on information, knowledge, logic and models, which is much more positive to society as a whole.

        and it is very hard if not impossible even for US 精英 to do any information related "businesses", without a solid system of "民选, market system, free speech, human rights" working to its extreme: this may be one of the fundamental "values" of the white system, and before they can figure out a new system, they keep their current social system.

        and fundamentally, competition and competition derived progresses in the area of information, knowledge, logic and models etc will in general help a society to improve in 勞動生產率.

        and 勞動生產率進步提高=the ultimate driver of economic and social progress.

        5.

        does Chinese understand this logic?

        I would think that logic is already a piece of cake to many TG 精英: they are super smart, or otherwise, how can they make so much money so fast?(:)

        and if they are so smart, then why not letting Chinese people follow their "absolute" political leadership? after all, TGchina's 精英 know Chinese people very well, and if TGchina's 精英 say: we are doing ok, don't bother us, you white evils. what white evils can do?

        not very much they can do, so, go ahead, try to get some sweat business deals done with TGchina's 精英.

        after all, money does not smell.

        but blood does smell, & besides, TGchina's 精英 knows that you have to be extremely careful in leveraging on Chinese people's national emotions, personal trust & their traditional support of Chinese political elite of past 5k years: that is almost the only "real' capital/看家本钱 TGchina's 精英 has, so better not to take any chance and risk to mess up that "dear" capital.

        likely because of that, fxxk the 釣魚島 東海識別區 stuff: that is a piece of BS smoke, no money there, baby(:).

        how about brainwashing and GFW stuff: the more the better, 意识形态战争死不了人, and it does not cost much at all, and 人民战争 @ 5 cents a piece, cheap(:), a good deal(:), then why not?

      • 家园 劳心者驭人

        1、人与人之间差距挺大的,可达千万倍直至高山仰止望尘莫及。

        2、差距不在于肌肉(体力),不在于大脑皮层褶皱,在于心力。

        3、现实中的精英并不一定与真正的精英重合,现实中的成功具有极大的偶然性。真正的精英不依赖于外界物质,我们做上上面两位的位置说不定干的比他们更好,把上面两位穿越送回500年以前说不定一露脸就被印第安酋长干掉了。

      • 家园 精英未必是智力见识高人一等

        真正的精英都能意识到运气的成分。

        正如,蜂群的蜂王未必比其他雌蜂更强壮,但她最早破茧,把所有其他蜂王蜂房内还没破茧的雌蜂都杀死了。

        • 家园 正反馈规则主导的资本世界中,先行一步很重要
        • 家园 精英经常是世袭的,也就是运气成分吧

          世袭包括明的世袭与隐形世袭的。

          而自然PK成长为精英的才会比较意识到自己的运气成分,而更喜欢搞垄断,干那些狡兔死走狗烹的事,完成从抢钱到收钱的转化。

          不过精英都有一个共同点,就是理解绝大多数人不是精英,只是螺丝钉,干电池。

      • 家园 最聪明的在幕后

        台上的政客都是小丑

    • 家园 巴菲说的对,人做自己擅长喜欢的工作

      感觉就是一直在走运,难以想象生活对自己这么幸运。别人眼中的努力吃苦都像打游戏一样,在废寝忘食中不知觉的过去。

      没有人是万能胶,十全十美,无限度的可塑造。学习与锻炼不是永远管用。 男怕入错行,中国人这句老话一句顶一万句。

    • 家园 这俩人真的很精彩

      很喜欢这句,“我想干一份到了一百岁依然能干的工作,因为这本来就是我的打算。我打算在死后五年再退休”。我也很喜欢我现在的工作。只不过不是给自己干,而是给资本家干。就怕我想干到50岁,都未必能如愿。

    • 家园 bug吗?

      年轻的时候做很多事情都不方便。我当初还不到二十五岁,都不能开车,见客户的时候只能坐出租车(笑声)。

      25岁还是15岁呀?

    • 家园 巴菲特还是一如既往的幽默和犀利。

      证券市场的两大巨头,巴菲特和索罗斯,索罗斯称自己首先是一个哲学家,巴菲特没有这样说过,但是他对市场和人性也有一种特别通透的理解,完全达到了哲学的高度。

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