主题:摇摇晃晃的道指 -- 倥偬飞人
今天是VIX指数期权到期日,牛牛们辛辛苦苦守了半天,终于要歇口气了。搞不好,这个双顶式的图形杀伤力很大,美国股民哪里有中国股民那么多银行存款呢?
要多备点子弹卖空啊,比什么投资都好
本肥腩没有学习过这个东东,恳请指点……
道指不出所料,深层出现动摇,终于表现在表面上了
黑石的上市,可能标志着道指终于发出了最后的光彩,呵呵,那叫回光返照!
BS (Bear Sterns) is full of BS. 旗下的对冲基金投资的次级房贷CDO之类损失巨大,终于触动了华尔街放贷者美林之流的神经,却又不知道如何收场。这些巨擘年利润听起来以billion 计算,可惜损失可能会更大,仅仅BS砸手里的就超过200亿次级房贷债券,而最低级的市场定价只有面值的60%不到!华尔街面临的是一个巨大的黑洞,有多深都没有人知道!
无独有偶,中国股市的走势也出现了一个双顶的形态。ZF各种招法不断抽走游资,也该喘口气了。
“熊死蹬”会不会因为这个大跌?美林呢?
"Afriend of mine laid out some connections which I find fascinating. First, the Bear Stearns auction of the Merrill CDOs has been continued today. Remember how they initially seized $400 million of CDO obligations, then it went up to $800, then $850m? Well, today Duetsche Bank got into the fray and added another $350m of CDOs it seized and is auctioning, so there’s over $1bn of CDOs up for grabs. Now the auction is continuing. How many reasons are there for that? One. They can’t get the price they want. The rumors in the currency trading circles are that the auction was also continued so the big lenders have time to position themselves with options on the downside of xx vs. yen pairs because (and here’s the great part) the big houses need to unwind the carry trade *right now* to have liquid funds available for margin and leverage calls when it becomes apparent that over $1 trillion of CDOs being held are worth considerably less than face value. Think it through slowly, because it’s huge. I can barely grasp the full extent of this process, so maybe we call in the black-belts to handle this one.
Update: Bloomberg reports that Merrill has pulled the plug on the auction after selling only a “small portion” of the CDOs. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aKayDn8BDFB8&refer=news
Apparently they either could not get the price or the howls of protest have penetrated - or both. Now to see if Deutsche Bank follows suit…"
No wonder selling like crazy!
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