主题:【原创】收入分配和经济危机 -- 万里风中虎
生产的无序性,在平时可以通过市场机制自动调节。市场上缺什么商品了,生产该商品有更多的利润,于是纷纷投入该商品的生产。而该商品生产过多又会导致利润太低甚至为负,于是纷纷改成生产别的。
但是由于分配不公导致用于投入生产的那部分分配比起用于投入消费的那部分分配增长过快(反过来说就是总体需求相对于生产力发展的下降),于是供给大于需求一直积累到超出市场机制所能够调节的范围,再加上市场机制本身的无序生产,结果就是生产过剩导致经济危机。
是不是可以这样理解?
在古典主义那里,所谓市场是万能的。如果供不应求,则会有更多的供应商,直到达到平衡。反之,如果供过于求,则供应商会自动减少,直到达到平衡。
问题在于古典主义并不关注达到平衡的过程,尤其是供过于求时的过程。看不到在供应商减少的过程中有多少人会破产以致无法恢复生产。而又有多少人会失业。所以有人辛辣讽刺说所谓“看不见的手”其实只是“卖咸鱼的手”而已。
资本主义生产的无序性主要表现在个个厂家都想独占市场。例如市场需要一百万台电脑。每个生产厂家都以卖掉百万电脑为己任,按此生产。结果到最后必然生产出超出百万的电脑。
这也可以说是竞争。但竞争的失败者就很可能破产。在古典主义那里,失败者转行是完全弹性的,是不需要成本的,是一蹴而至的。但在实际上,失败者或由于资金不足,或由于技术限制,或由于人员素质,或由于原材料问题一般很难转行成功。
再加上你所说的资本主义分配的剥削本质,则经济危机就会爆发得更快了。
del
Economy - overview:
Characterized by large and well-developed agricultural, mining, manufacturing, and service sectors, Brazil's economy outweighs that of all other South American countries and Brazil is expanding its presence in world markets. From 2003 to 2007, Brazil ran record trade surpluses and recorded its first current account surpluses since 1992. Productivity gains coupled with high commodity prices contributed to the surge in exports. Brazil improved its debt profile in 2006 by shifting its debt burden toward real denominated and domestically held instruments. "LULA" DA SILVA restated his commitment to fiscal responsibility by maintaining the country's primary surplus during the 2006 election. Following his second inauguration in October of that year, "LULA" DA SILVA announced a package of further economic reforms to reduce taxes and increase investment in infrastructure. Brazil's debt achieved investment grade status early in 2008, but the government's attempt to achieve strong growth while reducing the debt burden created inflationary pressures. For most of 2008, the Central Bank embarked on a restrictive monetary policy to stem these pressures. Since the onset of the global financial crisis in September, Brazil's currency and its stock market - Bovespa - have significantly lost value, -41% for Bovespa for the year ending 30 December 2008. Brazil incurred another current account deficit in 2008, as world demand and prices for commodities dropped in the second-half of the year.
GDP (purchasing power parity):
$2.03 trillion (2008 est.)
GDP (official exchange rate):
$1.665 trillion (2008 est.)
GDP - real growth rate:
5.2% (2008 est.)
GDP - per capita (PPP):
$10,300 (2008 est.)
GDP - composition by sector:
agriculture: 5.5%
industry: 28.5%
services: 66% (2008 est.)
Labor force:
100.9 million (2008 est.)
Labor force - by occupation:
agriculture: 20%
industry: 14%
services: 66% (2003 est.)
Unemployment rate:
8% (2008 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage share:
lowest 10%: 0.9%
highest 10%: 44.8% (2004)
Distribution of family income - Gini index:
56.7 (2005)
Investment (gross fixed):
18.6% of GDP (2008 est.)
del
这是美国工业界的看法外链出处。
del
这篇文章也就是因为MIT和nature的名头吓忽了不少人。如果您有兴趣,可以看看我写的那篇充电电池的文章,上面有些介绍。
您的文章我很喜欢,虽然我是经济的门外汉。
快速充电对公共电网冲击太大,所以智能电网对晚间充电是必建不可(分时段收费)。
蓄电池的能量密度不上去,最终会被燃料电池所取代。
上海硅酸盐所?
《地方政府与地方财政建设》 作者:沈春丽
http://books.google.cn/books?id=buFICzXheIQC&pg=PA423&lpg=PA423&dq=%E7%BD%97%E6%A3%AE%E6%96%AF%E5%9D%A6%E2%80%94%E7%BD%97%E4%B8%B9&source=bl&ots=jbHrkxBBjf&sig=NYi9A2vcaS2BEmUu5a4tQvyjts4&hl=zh-CN&ei=WeG9SfbSOpj07AOy2MzmBA&sa=X&oi=book_result&resnum=10&ct=result#PPA3,M1
靠谱.这种技术的应用显然有助于危机程度的减缓,不过对扭转全局恐怕很难.在1929年开始的大萧条其间,也有很多技术即将应用或者刚开始运用,但这些并没有阻止大萧条的出现.
这么年青就开始编书,那还有什么时间搞学术。
所以现在一篇象样的文章都没有。河里的千里烟波毕业时已经有了IER,比她已经强了太多。
如果要了解财政尤其是中国财政,还是看她的老师邹恒埔或者马俊他们的东西为好。