主题：【原创】《李锅35》MAYDAY (一) -- 本嘉明
不过现在好像一点也看不出美国打算牺牲他们的迹象嘛。
迪拜是美国的地盘，没有美国的支持，没人敢对以色列那样去追究．
之所以美国会对以色列那样，是因为近来以色列有想靠近俄罗斯的企图．看看前段俄罗斯对他的盟国伊朗的颠倒态度吧，以色列肯定准备下血本了．
美国这么做就是为了防止犹太人的资金进入俄罗斯．为的是，如果吃不到中国，正好趁乱吃犹太人．
看看美国国内现在的环境，民众对政府的态度，对银行家的憎恨等等，现在就等待民众情绪达到高潮了．
所以，如果中国妥协，那中国就被吃定了，这样犹太人就能躲过一劫．
但，吃了中国后，美国现在的制度就无法进行改变了，那么未来，美国肯定还得经历危机，所以犹太人的头上始终在悬着一把刀．这样犹太人恨不得赶快从美国脱身.
如上,
于是,巴勒斯坦官员的遇害被迪拜捅了出来.英国也说话了.
同时,俄罗斯发生了连续的爆炸事件.还有罗马尼亚和波兰的反导计划被重新提了出来,不过这次波兰很聪明,没当美国的枪.
欧元大跌 美元大涨？
欧洲就那么巴掌大的地方，这个政策一宣布，周围国家的人马上带上自己的欧元跑到德法去换了
不要往多了想，技术上很烂，思想上不烂。逻辑很错，空话太多。一个上尉这么说就八了，作为一个上校就太烂了。TG军官的素质让人担心。
最近欧洲某些国家对以色列的态度相当的强硬
如果联系起来看,那就是一些欧洲国家在帮助美国制约以色列,
例如,强烈谴责以色列的刺杀事件,甚至提出了巴勒斯坦建国的口号.这些没有美国的授意是干不出来的.
现在这些欧洲国家是两头卖乖
既帮助了美国制约了以色列的行动,又能安抚笼络伊斯兰国家
最近消息，
１.昨天某法国人质被释放
２.法国总统即将访美
另外，以色列将要访问中国
只要有可能，老二都在琢磨任何当老大，老大当然不会放手，打出一张制裁的牌，在现有条件下不增加资源消耗又发挥种种作用，还可以让老二们斗起来，不过后手任何应，因为先出牌就未必有先手。
You seem to be a financial professional.
The U.S. in 1933: A blueprint for how euro rift could heal
Historical crisis holds lessons for why avoiding a collapse is paramount
By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- From debt-racked Greece to economic powerhouse Germany, leaders across the euro zone insist that the monetary union that now encompasses 16 nations is here to stay -- even as strains over some countries' finances in Southern Europe send bond prices plummeting and propel the dollar higher.
But what if the euro did collapse?
The near-collapse of the dollar in 1933, and its subsequent recovery, can offer a blueprint for recovery should it happen that the euro breaks up, according to a research note from UBS. See related story on the euro.
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Paul Donovan, a London-based economist, reiterated the house belief that the euro won't break up. The reason, in his view: the costs of breaking up far exceed the benefits.
But Donovan pointed to the dollar's woes in the early 1930s as well as to the Czech-Slovak monetary union collapse as offering parallels with the current crisis in Europe.
The dollar never actually formally ceased to function back in the 1930s. But states began declaring dollar holidays, and companies began transferring deposits from local banks to New York lenders.
Indeed, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago had even refused to lend to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
'What the U.S experience demonstrates is that a monetary union can effectively fracture, and then come back together, if policy makers are committed enough to creating a viable, cohesive monetary policy.'
Paul Donovan, UBS
"Depositors were effectively signaling that a dollar in New York was worth more than a dollar in Michigan," Donovan said. This happened even as the New York Fed lowered its bill purchase rate to 0.5%.
The way the monetary union was repaired came about as a result of three factors: through a reorganization of the Fed in 1935, fiscal transfers and increased geographic mobility.
"What the U.S experience demonstrates is that a monetary union can effectively fracture, and then come back together, if policy makers are committed enough to creating a viable, cohesive monetary policy," Donovan said.
Similarly, the Czechs and the Slovaks underwent strains when their monetary union broke apart in 1993, in the aftermath of the dissolution of Czechoslovakia, Donovan said.
A Slovak crown was supposed to be worth the same as a Czech crown, but bank depositors took their money out of Slovak institutions and put them in Czech lenders.
What those countries did was impose limits on money withdrawn and restrict gaps in their currencies to, effectively, 10%, by anchoring them to the European Currency Unit, predecessor of the euro.
The result, unlike with the U.S., was the creation of two currencies, but it happened with little economic disruption, Donovan said.
The euro also isn't an optimal currency area, not just as economies are absorbing the current credit crunch very differently but also because there's little labor mobility or wage flexibility.
Fiscal policy -- or as Donovan headlines a subtitle, "Germans should pay for Greek pensions" -- offers a way out.
"Wealthier areas should, indeed must subsidize those parts of the monetary union that are at an economic disadvantage. Fiscal transfers are the price that has to be paid for a monetary union of any meaningful size," the economist wrote.
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we, chinese as a whole, is short on historical knowledge in finance. Europe and america offer many useful lessons.
如果以为以邻为壑就可以躲过美国那就太天真了
Euro is a life-and-death threat to dollar's global reserve currency status--thus America's military strength.
The USD-Euro fight will occupy the main stage for a while until Germany/France finally gave up their United States of Europe dream.
China: avoid taking sides and beef up the domestic consumption. Wait for a global financial turmoil.
以便让它们的拉锯更长，消耗更多的力量。
not a military war.
A zero sum game only. Wait to see social turmoil.
对中国而言，弊远大于利，这是显而易见的。