主题：【周末经济观察】资不抵债，给我顶住 -- 陈经

我只是提醒大家不要盲目乐观，亏钱的感觉不会好受。

回头看我3月28日在此坛给大家的一个提醒，如果大家小心了又何止于有今天的亏损？同样的，我曾在上证1200点时叫我国内的朋友进场。

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我对资金需求的看法 [ buzz ] 于:2008-03-28 06:54:50

关于资金供应，这是我在去年8月的一个粗略计算。后来A涨到6000，超过我的预期，不过后来一解禁，流动股量大增，要抬高整个股市的资金需求就大了很多.

One thing on how A shares near future, when A was at 4200, the value of chinese (both shenzhen and shanghai) market is 17 trillions, equal the total saving in the banks. WHen A at 4800, the value went up to 21 trillions, roughly about 4 trillion for every 800 poins. So theoretically in the near term, if all the money from banks is moved to the stock market, A share can be at 8000 at most. Considering the possiblity of emptying bank is 0, A up to 5000 is quite high and the upside is very limited because there is less and less money supply from the banks.