五千年(敝帚自珍)

主题:【原创】顽强的阻击 -- 大众河蟹

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家园 An Interesting Story

I have an interesting story to share.Jesse Livermore,a legendary trader in the 1900s once got trapped in a similar situation as 国储. He was holding a huge short position in Oak that he couldn't get out. The market was turning against him and he was desperate. Then he figured out that trader A was cornering Oak and pushing Oak up against him. And the same trader A is also pushing Wheat up against trader B who is a powerful businessman. Now Livermore had a plan. Instead of trying to push down Oak directly. He started to attack Wheat. His aggressively selling caused the wheat to drop quickly. As expected once the traders saw wheat plunging, they thought trader B was determined to break the corner in Wheat. Naturally they thought B is also going after A in Oak. So they started to sell Oak as well. Now Oak also started to crumble. Livermore took this opportunity quickly and covered all his shorts for a net small loss. This is a narrow escape as very soon oak started to risk again. Had he not covered he would be killed.

I am thinking maybe 国储.could learn something from this story.It's reasonable to assume that the same traders who are screezing 国储.in copper are also heavily long in Zinc Lead or Aluminium etc. If instead of trying to push down Copper directly, 国储.attacks these traders in other base metals. Once the speculators realized 国储.is determined to break their corner in other base metals,and also 国储.might have enough copper to break their copper corner, they would panic and run. Copper will plunge and 国储.might be able to dig itself out the hole.

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