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主题:这个关于世界人口变迁的录像,看了真郁闷 -- 青牛甲

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家园 这个关于世界人口变迁的录像,看了真郁闷

[FLASH]http://www.youtube.com/v/6-3X5hIFXYU[/FLASH]

大意说,如果一个文明出生率低于1.9,这个文明基本上就玩完了。

这个录像被一千万人看过,但是评论为零。[IMGA]http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?cht=lc&chs=610x120&chco=3d7930&chls=2,4,0&chg=0,-1,1,1&chxt=y,x&chxs=0,h&chxl=1:|03/29/2009|06/05/2009|08/12/2009&chxp=1,5,50,95&chxr=0,0,12226714|1,0,100&chd=t:0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.4,0.7,1.3,5.4,8.8,12.2,17.9,20.9,29.6,33.2,36.4,40.7,42.5,45.3,49.7,51.4,53.8,55.0,56.6,59.1,60.1,60.9,62.3,63.2,65.1,65.9,66.5,67.5,68.2,68.9,70.1,70.5,71.4,71.9,72.4,73.1,73.3,73.6,74.1,74.4,74.9,75.2,75.3,75.8,76.0,76.1,76.5,76.6,77.1,77.3,77.4,77.8,77.9,78.1,78.4,78.6,78.9,79.0,79.1,79.5,79.6,79.8,80.0,80.1,80.4,80.6,80.7,80.9,81.1,81.2,81.5,81.6,81.8,81.9,82.1,82.3,82.5,82.7,83.0,83.1,83.3&chm=B,c5d4b5bb,0,0,0|AJ,222222,0,0.5,12|AI,222222,0,1.5,12|AH,222222,0,13.5,12|AG,222222,0,13.5,12|AF,222222,0,13.5,12|AE,222222,0,13.5,12|AD,222222,0,13.5,12|AC,222222,0,14.5,12|AB,222222,0,14.5,12|AA,222222,0,14.5,12[/IMGA]

[IMGA]http://chart.apis.google.com/chart?cht=t&chs=350x175&chco=f5f5f5,edf0d4,c9dba3,a6c27d,6c9642,365e24,13390a&chls=1,4,0&chxt=x&chxl=0:|world&chf=bg,s,EAF7FE&chd=s:GoICASAIASDKTGEIACHCLDMDUpCDBOEGECJFLCDWCDBJBCPJGTDQFLCBBAzBFFNMBDGLLGBNTBQPJBRBEOEFAJDDFACC9LCtJJCBBTDDQBCTHFDGEFQOOCZBDMCCGEECFZBLEEBSCRGBCEDESJABeKHCIJEDBJDCBFPBIBCICBGDk1TFGRCBGNBLOQJBQBLABABSbHCABDGFEBSBAqPCFKNFAEIDBaGKB&chld=HUILVUMASMAWWFCZNUKEVCZWBGUAKGFIMMADSIASANBYPHMKPKBEDZMDMLESKZJEMOCOGTSYPAJPKNGRNPSZMGBWBILAATTCNIPTLCROSRBSAZPYMQGLAUDJISLVPRSKCVPEKHZMVIIRKMLKCHTLDEAFVESNGIGASCTTHREECFFJHTGDRSERGNLIUSCRDMZANCJMGEAXYTCYFOYEBHGFTGINMWPSPFCDDOGUQAMCBMCUMYMERWMUTWPWAGKRGHSBTHSGFMIQETAMTOTZCIFRNAVAMSCKCLBRSAHKNRGQNZRUGYCMBDUGGGLRGMLYAITJVNSVNOMVBZNEBFMZCNREARMPLBCAJOVGBAOMTRLSBNEGMHIEKYMXIMTNNGBTLTIOGPTDALNLAEPGMRGWMNBOAOHNSDCGSEUZKIGBKWBJITLUBBIDFKECDKNFSLMTUYPLWS[/IMGA]

看得最多的是

Male 35-64岁的男人;以及美国,加拿大和澳大利亚人。

俺只能指望印度老哥和老墨了。这个世界还是多样化点好。

家园 沙发
家园 天朝出生率是多少啊?还真不知道。
家园 图标中颜色的含义?
家园 呵呵,很好嘛

家园 这里有一个美国网友反驳的帖子

外链出处

For example:

Saudi Arabia, historical fertility rates:

2003 6.15 (* is this accurate?)

2004 4.11

2005 4.05

2006 4

2007 3.94

2008 3.89

And the three largest Muslim countries:

Indonesia, historical fertility rates:

2003 2.5

2004 2.47

2005 2.44

2006 2.4

2007 2.38

2008 2.34

Pakistan, historical fertility rates:

2003 4.1

2004 4.29

2005 4.14

2006 4

2007 3.71

2008 3.73

Bangladesh, historical fertility rates:

2003 3.17

2004 3.15

2005 3.13

2006 3.11

2007 3.09

2008 3.08

Egypt, historical fertility rates:

2003 3.02

2004 2.95

2005 2.88

2006 2.83

2007 2.77

2008 2.72

Turkey, historical fertility rates:

2003 2.03

2004 1.98

2005 1.94

2006 1.92

2007 1.89

2008 1.87

Iran, historical fertility rates:

2003 1.99

2004 1.93

2005 1.82

2006 1.8

2007 1.71

2008 1.71

照他那个说法土耳其和伊朗都属于完蛋的国家。

家园 计生部门声称要稳定在1.8,学者计算值为1.3~1.4
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