主题：【问题】美国会改变遏制和威慑战略直接对中国进攻吗 -- wqnsihs
就是国土面积百万平方公里，人口一亿，已经是标准的大国规模了。
他认为宁可亡于日本，不可让中共胜利。
在国民党内有这种思想的人并不少，就算蒋介石，也说过亡于倭寇尚可苟延残喘，亡于赤匪则纵欲为亡国奴亦不可得
要产生汪精卫，就要有以下条件：产生一个分裂性的路线，而且这个路线和主流路线是对抗性的；这个路线的代言人有相当的权力和影响力，但是又无力获得主导权；外部压力极其严重，导致失败主义情绪蔓延。
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我不认为还有谁会认为能够“征服”中国
蒙哥马利总结的那两条 就是毛泽东他们那一代人的最好评价
恭喜：你意外获得【通宝】一枚
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活儿基本靠领导派；领导做事利索有方向就容易出成果；没事别自己找事……
当年南斯拉夫，我们就是指望叶利钦能硬一把的，结果那个软蛋愣是把已经占领机场的兵给撤了，只剩下我们硬抗，结果吃了大使馆的亏。
也别指望欧洲那些老爷，小布什打伊拉克他们倒也是嚷嚷反对来着，结果小布什霸王硬上弓，那些老爷愣是毫无办法。
所以我们也就是自求多福吧，趁现在手里还有牌，多同米国佬谈点利益才是正经，别再像伊拉克那会儿，最后什么都没捞到，反而几百亿的债务全泡汤了。
- -- 系统屏蔽 --。
你看咋样？
养起来，等过年过节就切几刀
confrontation with America.
The Euro vs. USD economic war has started for a while.
the first firms that suffered from cunning I-bankers.
Before them, tons of American/European/Asian firms had suffered before. It is not conspiracy. It is just asymetrical game: those officials are not as smart as those bankers.
10 years ago, the most famous example is Procter & Gamble, who lost $1 for a derivative contract with BT.
Henry Kissinger is expert on China's history of Warring States. So is 布热津斯基.
You way underestimate the smartness of some top elites here.
If you talk about PNAC people, then it is yes.
really to the key point. We should push them to fight a bit harder... Fire up, fire up...
如果欧元死掉，那么随之而死的是整个欧洲整合的光荣和梦想（平心而论，这对整个人类文明都是有进步意义的）。
--hehe, a United States of Europe is America and China's nightmare. It is geological disaster. I do not care about civilization blah blah talk. There is one book called "the Dark Continent"--I have no much good feeling about the hypocritical Europe.
所以德法会誓死捍卫欧元。而美国对欧元的打压由于其自身融资的需要也是不会停止的。如果美国经济迅速转好，赤字预期下降，融资需要减弱，那么打压的力度就会小些，反之则会更强甚至寻求消灭欧元。
--then we should encourage a slower improvement and further American incentive to squeeze Euro.
对欧洲来说，如果经济转好，那么回旋的空间会大些，德法的民众对于救助PIGS容忍性也大些，否则会民怨沸腾，欧洲离心。
--All PIGs will use harsh fiscal policies. ECB have to use tighter monetary policy to keep mid-east money and defend Euro's credibility--thus only negative scenario will happen. A highly unionized Euroland with many African immigrant labor + flaming up racism in Europe +further islamicization =hehe...
所以接下来就是一个美欧拉锯的过程。
--As an ethnical Chinese, that's something I dream to see for years...