主题：【问题】美国会改变遏制和威慑战略直接对中国进攻吗 -- wqnsihs

the history between 1929-1932.

I think we will see 2nd dip in 2010. China export will fall a lot.

The top is too optimistic. I agree with Wolf this time.

is coming. After the summer of 2010.

The crisis is far from over. When Europe and America are in the 2nd dip, China export will pick up the signal quickly.

wxmang might have not foreseen that.

今天看了鼓劲儿的话，继续鼓起信心满溢锐气地往前走。

乌云压顶夜森森，塔铃儿响声声。夜色昏暗灯不明，知是宝塔第几层。一片禅心悲众僧，师徒扫塔情殷殷。驱散妖雾乾坤净，换来晴空月儿明。

wxmang对二次探底一直是半信半疑的，他的长处是对中国经济的真实情况十分熟悉，河里无人能比。但预测经济走势不是他的长处。

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but it doesn't mean that we need to overstate their philosophical understandings of our strategy.

美国扶植的汪精卫没一个干正事的。老美自己一屁股烂事搞不定，奥8马都成无方向飞弹了。各回各的家，各找各的妈。该干嘛干嘛去。当美国跟班有啥好处？Y能让房价降下来不？整点实在的。

鱼死网破是个双输策略，白便宜了看热闹的和事后分尸的。毛主席留给中华民族最宝贵的遗产可不是这个，是使别人相信我们敢干鱼死网破的事情，并大体拥有鱼死网破的能力。在下治史不深，不知主席他老人家真干过鱼死网破的事情么？

如果鱼死网破的后果是地球毁灭，鱼死网破的威胁就有与鱼死网破的行为相同的效力。其实这也是冷战的老套路--确保同归于尽。所以现在大家都不大玩军备了，改玩巧实力了。不战而屈人之兵，善之善者也。

伊拉克、阿富汗的问题都解决不了，2次对伊朗开战最终都成泡影。何况中国早已做好最坏的准备。

第五卷，敬仰先帝。

对于老美，俺以为，俺们不但要学习他好的东东，还要改造他，还是友好的斗争中的改造。不怕和他打战，但不要和他打战。最可怕的不是兵戎相见，而是友好的吸星大法。兵戎相见，容易荡去陈腐，焕发又一春；友好的吸星大法，则需要舒服中的自省和奋斗，或者成员的流动，当然，最好是后者，以便中土广开胸怀，招贤纳士。

另外，有一个差不多的竞争者其实是好事。君不见苏联倒了，美帝也腐朽的快了。

是自挖基础的傻帽。没有了根基，有人要敲竹竿，还不是轻松的很。现在不敲，还不是看在TG的分上，希望不要太早露出嘴脸，多吸引一些傻帽，挖自己和TG的墙角。来得快，去的快啊。俺估摸着，很多已经意识到了，只是怕太迟。不知TG有无怀仁之策。

Whitney may have set up shop on her own, but maintaining her credibility also depends on whether her forecasts continue to come true. It looks like there’s at least a chance of that. While she is currently one of the most outspoken bears on the Street, her assessments are similar to those of academic economists. At the annual meeting of the American Economic Association in January, Reuters reported that “experts from a range of political leanings were in surprising agreement when it came to the chances for a robust and sustained expansion: They are slim.”

--Agree with you. Good managers usually get buried under daily administration and are short on long-term sight.