主题：del -- MRandson

真是两难啊，不知道欧洲人有什么打算。其实欧元扩张的太厉害了，借这个机会收缩一下，扔掉包袱，过几年重新扩张可能更好一些。

英镑这两天跌的也很厉害，不知道后市如何？

英镑作为欧元的小弟，这次估计也会跟着走。

欧洲的债务情况是美、日、欧，三个经济体内最好的。

--Europe is better than Japan, but I am not sure about whether it is better than US. Do you have any data to support that unsupported conclusions?

Let me show some OECD 2008 below (percentage of GDP):

1. Italy--114.4% (big cheater through GS deal, unreliable too)

2. Greece-102.5% (totally a lie, unreliable at all)

3. Belgium-93.5%

France: 75.7%

Portugal: 75.2%

*Euro zone: 73.2%

US: 70.0%

Canada: 69.7%

*Germany: 68.8%

Austria: 66.2%

UK: 56.8%

Of course, 2009 deficit should be added. Currently I do not have data by the end of 2009.

You received rigorous Ph.D. training in Britain. I have to say that this post is too loose. But I really like your posts for your insights.

欧洲的事情，对中国是个警钟。地方财政破产，必然威胁整体经济安全。中国没有资格笑话欧洲。

--agree.

BTW, Europe is dead for sure. ECB shall finally compromise its principle and started to lend to PIGs banks next week. Thus market shall stablize a bit next week.

But in the long run, Euroland will be broken into pieces--that is the final objective of American elites and they will not let Europe slip this time.

Germans will pay price for their short-sightedness.

right now, Euro falls too much and pound is too strong.

一旦放弃东线，马上就兵败如山倒。元首让士兵在严寒之中死守东线，是有道理的。

不过，并不能完全排除欧洲领导人办傻事。

卖给普通百姓至少是3，4倍的价钱。有人说是贱卖，但没有贱卖就不能成功营销成功。一块钱卖给老百姓，老百姓才不会买呢。

军饷是在增长的

虽然高盛帮希腊玩了些数字游戏，但希腊的经济实力都是有目共睹的。那为什么还会让他们加入呢？

只要希腊在欧元区，只要欧元区不解体，希腊迟早是德国的经济殖民地。这是德国的算盘。

只要希腊在欧元区，没有在经济上和德、法彻底一体化，欧元区就有解体的可能。这是美国的算盘。

个人看法。

要不然，德国还是咬咬牙，填上算了。