主题：【原创】“中国崩溃论”屡屡崩溃的根本原因 -- 比的原理

first of all, I like you and 陈王奋起挥黄钺's writing, comparing US and TGchina in many cases; and I hope my posts will be some kind of "food for thoughts".

1.

Marxism fits well into Chinese 文明 concept based "social science"

social sciences like "西方文明是以“理性人”为核心构建的，这其实是一种歧视理论，就如尼采强调的超人，这种文明模式在大多数人聚集到城市，就不可能继续支配人类的发展，人类文明必须以“普遍人”，也就是以人的生存与发展来构建，生存的核心是主动，发展的核心是能动，因此主动与能动，才是构建人类文明的根本，而不是基于既得利益和既有精神的经济相对独立和精神相对独立。"

I have written a few pieces on this kind of basically "forever dilemma" topic from a physics point of view.

I think TG top somehow has managed to come out of that kind of "forever dilemma" trap of social science.

this kind of social science all ask about fundamental and good questions, then everybody comes with an 先验论 based argument, then you have your 先验论 argument against my 先验论 argument, and arguing with each other forever

and as nation of social science tradition, 先验论 is popular in the Chinese culture setting.

However, I think TG top has managed to go beyond that trap, as smart as TG is .

2.

now, economics (energy, physics)

vs 美国"政府"没有钱, TG 政府 is super rich, china GDP grows >6%, then what is the problem?

the problem: the global capitalism is moving beyond a newton classical physics based 生产方式, and that is where most of TGchina 主力部队 get trapped.

"中国是全球实业资本最大的聚集地，在全球产业大转移的背景下，成了世界最大的工厂，也即将成为世界最大的市场", those 世界最大的工厂 if not profitable, its maintenance cost of economic, social and political etc can potentially eat out all TG 政府钱.

3.

now, as I said, in this open, global, competitive economic dissipative system, 先验论 based government planning at enterprise or industrial level is impossible, we don't even have a science model for a dissipative physics system.

林毅夫's copycat model is backward looking model in a way, or 后发 and catching up forever model, where TG 政府's central planning works out much better in terms of infrastructure building out and coping of west's industrial model from a 后发 point of view.

partially because of that model, now comes with global 生产过剩 of traditional and conventional newton physics based industrial production.

and if you are TG top, seeing all your 主力部队 get trapped in those 没有窗户的厂房, what would worry you? would those 主力部队 march back towards your headquarters because of some kind of 相变, among other risks and problems of "china model only"?

4.

now, the coming next phase of global capitalism beyond newton classical physics

nobody has a clue, not any political 政府 such as US or TG, but wall street as a capital market, and silicon valley as a focal point of global brain power may have better views than anybody else.

and silicon valley and those top US universities behind, and wall street to some extent as a capital market financing this new economy, they are all parts of US system, 垄断, period.

and in that sense, 美国"政府"没有钱 is bad, but it does not matter that much;

but if TG"政府"没有钱, we all know what will happen;

and now, TG "政府"钱 and 主力部队 kind of 被包围 in those 没有窗户的厂房, although percentage we don't really know;

not only that, even those 主力部队 somehow comes out of 没有窗户的厂房 alive, where to go and what to do to keep 主力部队 busy?

let them study X's china dream BS in their 营房 everyday?

5.

now, all these challenging issues post challenges for humanity as a whole and for individual countries as competing 部队, and there are no easy answers.

and I keep saying that TG has been very smart since Deng, with very few missteps in terms of domestic economic reforms.

1 of the Chinese nation's challenge as I see:

having been "brain washed" by "毛林共识" with a combination of Marxism and traditional Chinese culture for several decades, the current Chinese generation grows up with a 惯性参考系 built by engineering and 党校 education combined with strong Chinese national ego/pride, sees world quite differently or strangely if I may use the word;

that is an issue for X's 打左灯 向右拐: the troops are not that easily manageable, "higher cost";

and not only that, unless you can brainwash the whole world with this strange combination of engineering and 党校 ideology combined, it is very hard to come out with innovation and growth oriented industrial products which can lead the world market and priced at a premium, therefore making good and on-going cash flow way into future, and then all the old money will be coming your way, kissing your sweet ass, then 没有钱 becomes 有钱, almost over night, and 有钱 become 没有钱.

that is kind of one of non-linear features of this highly dissipative social system with strong coupling of almost everything, a almost totally non-linear system, very hard to model, not to mention government central planning BS.

and it is even harder for Chinese society to 吸引全世界的人才, again, unless you can brain wash most of 全世界的人才 with your china model ideology of engineering and 党校 combination.

never say never, and china model 忽悠 the world may happen beyond 3020, but anybody cares?

until then, you keep your money where your mouth is, and stay away from those 先验论 based social sciences, which is every where and all over the Chinese media, and X's ideology war is only making it worse.

what a world of "china model".

again, have your children study physics and English, starting yesterday. follow the Chinese elite. their children are going US ivy league for a totally different 惯性参考系 installation , some of them started their new 惯性参考系 in US even in middle school.

惯性参考系 super powerful, once built up, it hangs there forever, 洛伦兹变换 manages them via SR 四維時空, one's life is basically modeled right there.

“美国政府没钱，是因为被金钱民主给劫持了。中国政府有钱，是因为资本和百姓被政府绑票了。”

“只要TG执政，这一批领导人再搞私有化也没戏，换一批上台，几个政策就把私有化的企业搞趴下了。所以，精英一定要“民主”和“私有化”两手都要抓，两手都要硬。否则赚了多大家产，都是空呀。”

补充一下，适当的混合所有还是可行的，虽然不能极端私有化，但私有公有在中国的体制下其实不是最重要的因素，特别在信息化条件下，信息平台本身是政府的资源，会选择性地增强政府的力量。在中国的传统官本位和现代的信息化支撑下，西方民主在中国就没有可能实现。既有私有的活力，又有公有的监督，这样的体制在中国是可以实现的。

现在中国也鼓励企业走出去，特别是资金雄厚的国有企业，他们赚钱了不缴税可能还故意亏本而转移财富挖国家墙脚呢。